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Hull vs Man United

Sat 22 Aug 2026, 11:30 UTC · Round 1 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

Hull win: 21.9%

Draw: 26.8%

Man United win: 51.3%

Predicted: Man United

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 51.2%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 43.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 11.05

More corners: Man United (47.7% home / 52.3% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Man United

Yes

Probability Man United wins or draws: 73.9%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Man United Clearest lean of the available outcomes (51% vs next-best 27%). (51.0% model probability) Medium

Total Goals Under 2.5 (56.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Man United win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (74.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.